Bayesian Rationality: The Probabilistic Approach to Human ReasoningAre people rational? This question was central to Greek thought; and has been at the heart of psychology and philosophy for millennia. This book provides a radical and controversial reappraisal of conventional wisdom in the psychology of reasoning, proposing that the Western conception of the mind as a logical system is flawed at the very outset. It argues that cognition should be understood in terms of probability theory, the calculus of uncertain reasoning, rather than in terms of logic, the calculus of certain reasoning. |
Contents
Rationality and rational analysis | 19 |
how much deduction | 41 |
The probabilistic turn | 67 |
Copyright | |
6 other sections not shown
Other editions - View all
Bayesian Rationality: The Probabilistic Approach to Human Reasoning Mike Oaksford,Nick Chater Limited preview - 2007 |
Bayesian Rationality: The Probabilistic Approach to Human Reasoning Mike Oaksford,Nick Chater No preview available - 2007 |
Common terms and phrases
algorithms antecedent argued argument artificial intelligence assumption Bayesian behaviour bird Cambridge car starts categorical premise causal Chater and Oaksford cognitive science cognitive system computational computational-level conditional inference conditional probability Consequently counter-examples deductive reasoning degrees of belief effects empirical end term endorse epistemology Evans everyday rationality everyday reasoning example experiment Experimental explain formal rationality Gigerenzer goals heuristics human reasoning hypothesis information-gain model interpretation intuitions Johnson-Laird knowledge logicist manipulation mathematical mental logic mental models theory min-heuristic Moreover natural language negations non-monotonic non-monotonic logic normative Oaksford and Chater Oberauer optimal p-entailments p-valid parameter participants philosophy of science possible predictions prior probability probabilistic approach probabilistic model probability theory problem psychology of reasoning q card quantifiers Ramsey test rational analysis rational explanation reasoning tasks relevant representation response rule Schroyens selection task semantics syllogisms syllogistic reasoning tion truth table Tweety Wason Wason selection task