books.google.co.uk - Here the author of How to Solve It explains how to become a "good guesser." Marked by G. Polya's simple, energetic prose and use of clever examples from a wide range of human activities, this two-volume work explores techniques of guessing, inductive reasoning, and reasoning by analogy, and the role...http://books.google.co.uk/books/about/Mathematics_and_Plausible_Reasoning.html?id=-TWTcSa19jkC&q=obtain&utm_source=gb-gplus-shareMathematics and Plausible Reasoning