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acquisition addition and/or approach associated calibrated candidate risk issues coefficients consequence of occurrence cost and schedule cost risk critical values Defense derived documentation DSMC effective risk management estimative probability evaluated example exist given identified impact lead management process steps mathematical operations ment metrics Milestone Monte Carlo simulation occurrence scales occurrence terms ordinal probability organization percentile possible prob probability and consequence probability distribution probability of occurrence probability scale probability statements problems program manager program personnel program phase project management quartile requirements risk analysis methodology risk analysis results risk assessment risk categories risk factor risk handling option risk handling strategy risk identification risk level risk management process risk mapping matrix risk monitoring risk planning risk scores scale definitions scale levels schedule risk selected substantial technical risk tion typically uncalibrated ordinal scales uncertainty WBS elements WBS level
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