books.google.co.uk - Historical records show that there was no real concept of probability in Europe before the mid-seventeenth century although the use of dice and other randomizing objects was commonplace. Ian Hacking here presents a philosophical critique of early ideas about probability, induction and statistical inference...http://books.google.co.uk/books/about/The_Emergence_of_Probability.html?id=Z2g0F1V5DywC&q=believe&utm_source=gb-gplus-shareThe Emergence of Probability