Russia in the 21st Century: The Prodigal Superpower
This book demonstrates that Russia intends to re-emerge as a full fledged superpower before 2010 that would challenge America and China and potentially threaten a new arms race. Contrary to conventional wisdom, this goal is easily within the Kremlin's grasp, but the cost to the Russian people and global security would be immense. A sophisticated strategy is proposed to dissuade President Vladimir Putin from pursuing this destabilizing course. The cold war image of the Soviet Union as a westernizing, mass consumption society committed to "peaceful coexistence" is exposed as a statistical illusion. A critique of American foreign policymaking is also provided that emphasizes the confusion caused by tempering evidence to conform with public expectations by failing to secure the national interest in favor of satisfying a consensus of particular special interests.
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Abram Bergson agency American Anders Aslund April arms assets authoritarian billion Cambridge capital CIA's civilian competitive consumer defense activities defense burden democracy democratic free enterprise deputy director dollar Economic Growth economic system Estimates of Soviet Federal Firth and Noren forces foreign genshtab global Gorbachev Goskomstat idem industrial Institute Iraq Johnson's Russia List Khodorkovsky Kremlin liberal March Mikhail Mikhail Khodorkovsky military-industrial complex Minister missile Moscow Muscovite nuclear official oligarchs Pareto-efficient percent physical management physical systems management political Post-Soviet potential procurement prodigal superpower production public culture reform rent granting rent seeking reprinted in Johnson's Rosefielde ruble Russian Economic social Soviet Defense Spending Soviet economic Soviet Military Soviet Union Sovietologists statistics Steven Rosefielde Strategic structural militarization tion University Press USSR USSR's virtual economy Vitaly Shlykov Vladimir Putin Washington Washington consensus West western Yeltsin