The Politics of Energy Forecasting: A Comparative Study of Energy Forecasting in Western Europe and North AmericaThomas Martin Baumgartner, Atle Midttun The last twenty years have seen an increase in modeling methodologies and forecasting exercises in which the models have become increasingly complex and the forecasts more and more long-term. Focusing on energy issues, this book examines the process of model building and forecasting in the United States, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Norway, and Great Britain to illustrate the many forces that shape energy models and forecasts. |
Contents
Science Art and Politics | 3 |
The SocioPolitical Context of Energy Forecasting | 11 |
The Roles of ModelsWhat Can We Expect from | 33 |
Copyright | |
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Common terms and phrases
administrative Amory Lovins analysis assumptions backcasting Canada Canadian CEGB cent changes coal Commission Committee Danish decision-making decisions demand forecasts Department of Energy discussion econometric economic growth EiFW electricity consumption electricity forecasts energy conservation energy consumption energy demand energy forecasting energy future energy modelling energy plan energy policy energy prices energy scenarios energy studies energy supply energy system environmental export federal Figure fore fuel growth rates Häfele IIASA IIASA energy important increase industry input institutional Leach long-term Lovins low energy ment methodology Ministry of Energy Ministry of Finance modelling and forecasting National Energy Board Norway nuclear energy nuclear energy policy nuclear power official organizations perspective petajoules policy-making political production programme Project Public Energy Debate reactor role scen scenariette scenario analysis Science sector social society soft energy path structure supply and demand technical tion utilities variables West Germany