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I've been a big fan of the fivethirtyeight blog for several years, so I was very happy to get this for Christmas. Silver does a great job of digging into the financial meltdown, sports gambling, the weather, and several other areas where forecasting is done well - and poorly. He also provides a great introduction to Bayes' theorem and how it applies to several areas.
The less familiar you are with his work, the more I would you read this book.

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The signal and the noise
Some good stuff, but poor editing . Two examples from the sample: the protestants were at war with the church and the emperor, not the empire itself. Holy roman empire is
not the roman catholic church. The chart listing mortgage securities ha mislabelled headings. Correlated and uncorrelated are reversed. The text has it right. 

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All reviews - 41
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