Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions: Review and recommendations

adjust administrative data administrative records AFDC alternative ASPE assess behavioral response benefits budget caseloads Census Census Bureau complex confidence intervals cost-effective costs coverage data quality data sources database decision makers documentation DYNASIM2 economic eligible error evaluation exact matches example external validation files food stamp food stamp program forecasts health care policy impact implemented important improve imputation income support programs input investment IQCS issues labor legislative major March CPS MATH mean square error Medicaid Medicare microsimulation models model development model estimates model outputs model validation modules panel participation policy analysis agencies policy analysis tools policy changes policy models population PRISM problems projections proposed recommend that policy retirement income sample second-round effects sensitivity analysis SIPP social security specific static aging statistical agencies tax policy tax returns TRIM2 U.S. Department uncertainty Urban Institute users validation studies variables variance