Long-range Futures Research: An Application of Complexity ScienceSuccinct and user-friendly, Long-Range Futures Research: An Application of Complexity Science by Robert H. Samet explains how complexity science provides an evolutionary model for the civil system and a new world view. Written for the systems science, and environmental, social and management science schools of futures studies, this book is fully annotated and meticulously researched and penned. Broken into four parts including thirteen chapters and appendices, this technical guide looks at the future evolutionary trajectory and geopolitical macrostructure in relation to other international models and global reference scenarios. Highly readable, it interprets long-range emergent phenomena, using empirical data from accepted contemporary sources of information such as the United Nations, the World Bank and the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development. The next generation of forward-thinking world leaders must expand ways of analysing problems and undertaking futures research. |
Contents
THE PRINCIPLES OF ECODYNAMICS | lxiv |
120 | lxxii |
5 | lxxx |
6 | xcix |
7 | xcix |
217 | xcix |
References | cxliii |
13 | clxi |
Verhulst logistic curve SCurve | 2 |
Location index analysis by sector and area | 8 |
Transport energy consumption from urban decentralisation | 14 |
Future urban population by continental region | 19 |
Default values for material resource flows | 28 |
Common terms and phrases
achieve Africa America Appendix areas artefacts Asia assets behaviour billion carbon dioxide century cities civil ecostructures civil system civilisation communications complex adaptive system complexity science continental region continental unions corporations cost created cultural cycle decline developed countries diffusion division dynamics Ecodynamics ecopolitan ecosystems ecotaxes emergence employment energy environment environmental equilibrium Europe evolution evolutionary evolve exergy fuel global GNI per capita Gross World Product growth households Human Settlements income increase industrial inhabitants Institute investment capital kmĀ² LDCs logistic curve London Long-Range Futures Research MDCs Megapolis metasystem Metropolis metropolitan networks organisations percent planet planetary pop'n population density potential production quaternary information rates reduce result scenario sectors social society spatial structure species stage of development sustainable telecommunications trade transition transport trillion trophic web United Nations urban population urban system workforce world population